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蔡慎坤:贸易战为什么不可逆转了?

2023-04-24 09:41:54

楼主: 水浪
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蔡慎坤:贸易战为什么不可逆转了? [推广有奖]

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jjxjiang 发表于 2018-7-30 15:04:08 |只看作者
这事很麻烦了
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边走边唱0512 发表于 2018-7-30 15:14:36 |只看作者
中国有关600亿美元的援助计划,其中50亿美元是无偿赠送
****

厉害了,我的国!大撒币!
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水浪 发表于 2018-7-31 19:24:36 |只看作者
边走边唱0512 发表于 2018-7-30 15:14
中国有关600亿美元的援助计划,其中50亿美元是无偿赠送
****
  美帝政商各界对天朝态度的转变,在2014年前后已经相当明显。川普是这种转变的结果,而不是原因。很多天朝才俊感觉不到是因为迟钝和封闭,对美帝和对自己的判断大部分是错的。现在知道了,有点晚。

    @成都冯川

    最近比较懒,有时就是转转朋友圈里的链接。O中国对美国的四个“想不到”和十个“重新认识”!... ​​​​

   

    中国对美国的四个“想不到”和十个“重新认识”!, 这种艰难可能还会持续几年时间 , 甚至会更长 , 因为到现在还没有解药 。 对于当下的中美关系……中国有必要对美国重新认识 , 假如我们还不从思想观念上调整对美认识 , 那么在战略和战术上必然会跑偏 , 可能还会犯重大的错误 。 中国对美国的四个“想不到”和十个“重新认识”! 文/凌阿锋(原标题:中国有必要对美国重新认识 ) 2018年对中美关系来讲是艰难的一年 , 这种艰难可能还会持续几年时间 , 甚至会更长 , 因为到现在还没有解药 。 对于当下的中美关系 , 中国人有几个想不到 :
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sdhb 发表于 2018-8-1 09:10:40 |只看作者
本帖最后由 sdhb 于 2018-8-1 09:24 编辑
水浪 发表于 2018-7-31 19:24
美帝政商各界对天朝态度的转变,在2014年前后已经相当明显。川普是这种转变的结果,而不是原因。很多天 ...
这个不错,建议各位都看一遍,准确了解西方从这里开始。 与其在花时间 做建立在想当然上的无谓争论;还是,花点时间看看这个,必有帮助。
Foundations of Western Civilization II: A History of the Modern Western World
by Robert Bucholz

Starting with the Renaissance, the culture of the West exploded. Over the next 600 years, rapid innovations in philosophy, technology, economics, military affairs, and politics allowed what once had been a cultural backwater left by the collapse of the Roman Empire to dominate the world.

Hide Full Description

But how—and why—did this happen?

  • How did the decentralized agrarian principalities of medieval Europe remake themselves into great industrial nation-states?
  • How and why did absolutism rise and then yield to democratic liberalism?
  • How did Western science and technology create the first industrialized economics and reduce the power of superstition and disease?
  • How did these centuries create the framework for the escalation of revolutions and the frequent wars between civilizations?
  • Why was colonization—either the conquest of indigenous populations or the transplantation of societies to new territories—such a prevalent enterprise, and how did it fall apart?
  • Why did Europe produce two great antagonist systems: capitalism and Communism?
  • Most importantly: How did we get to where we are in the 21st century?


Foundations of Western Civilization II: A History of the Modern Western World explores these and other riveting questions. In 48 lectures, award-winning Professor Robert Bucholz of Loyola University of Chicago teaches not only the history of Western civilization but also the meaning of civilization itself.


Offering profound rewards to everyone, this course is


  • a grand narrative of the past five centuries;
  • a coherent context for the period's events and trends; and
  • an analysis of what these five centuries have bequeathed to us.


How Was Our World Shaped?

The story of the West detailed in Foundations of Western Civilization II is the road map that tells you where we came from and what challenges we have created for ourselves in the journey ahead.


For all its diversity, modern American society—in particular its assumptions and forms of expression—is very much a product of the last 500 years of European history and culture. Our system of government, our economic structures, our science and technology, and much of our literature, art, and music are based on or react to European models forged in the crucible of modern Western history.


The history of Europe, moreover, is not just the story of "kings and queens, or their ministers, or their relations with diets, parliaments, or estates," according to Professor Bucholz. "It is also the story of every man, woman, and child who lived, loved, fought, and died in Europe during the period covered by our course," he says. "The story must be told from the bottom up as well as from the top down."


An Extraordinary, Comprehensive View

This extraordinary and comprehensive view of history explores the ideas, events, and characters that modeled Western political, social, religious, intellectual, cultural, scientific, technological, and economic history during the tumultuous period between the 16th and 20th centuries.


Your journey begins with a close look at the backgrounds to the modern Western world and an exploration of how Western Europe transitioned from a medieval mindset to the modern path that would take it through the next 600 years. In addition to looking at the critical role played by factors like climate, topography, and natural resources, you chart the six developments that destroyed the old medieval worldview:


  • the development of Renaissance Humanism
  • the rise of centrally governed nation-states
  • the discovery of the New World
  • the creation of the printing press
  • the Protestant Reformation and its subsequent religious wars
  • the rational and scientific revolutions


From there, Foundations of Western Civilization II plunges into the progress of Western European history. You immerse yourself in the crises of the 17th century, the development of absolutism and constitutionalism, the whirlwind of revolutionary fervor that consumed the West during the 18th century (specifically the American and French revolutions), and the subsequent spread of liberal ideals.


As you emerge into the 19th century, you understand the critical impact of various nationalist movements in Western history, as exemplified in the dramatic stories of the unification of Italy in 1861 and that of Germany in 1871. Nationalism also paved the way for increased tensions in and among nations, and carries us into the violent turmoil of the 20th century and shocking events like the Great Depression, the rise of Fascism and Nazism, the two world wars, the Russian Revolution, and the rise (and fall) of the Soviet Union—all events that would forever alter the course of Western history.


Throughout this historical survey, you get a larger understanding of the political, social, and cultural history of Europe. In addition, you explore the ramifications of these and other events on the rest of the world, including the United States.


Different from other surveys of Western civilization, Foundations of Western Civilization II puts the history of the West into a cultural context as well, with looks into amazing works of art and culture that range from the King James Bible and Michelangelo's Sistine Chapel ceiling to Impressionist paintings and Modernist literature like James Joyce's Ulysses.


Venture Inside and Outside the Corridors of Power

Throughout the course, Professor Bucholz pauses at many points along the way to show how Western civilization was shaped by the low as well as the mighty, the practical as well as the artistic. As you would expect from a survey of Western history, those at the seat of power—whether through birth, election, or revolution—take their turn at center stage, including


  • Louis XIV: Known as the Sun King, his reign was a constant demonstration of what Professor Bucholz calls "Louis XIV's Five Rules of Absolutism," with the king always being godlike, in control, wealthy, able to enforce religious conformity, and in possession of an army.
  • Napoleon Bonaparte: The brilliant battlefield tactician and magnetic leader whose dreams of unifying Europe through military conquest were foiled, his values of liberalism and nationalism nevertheless spread throughout Europe.
  • Otto von Bismarck: A meticulous diplomat and the architect of German unification, his carefully derived system of interlocking alliances—designed to maintain Europe's balance of power and prevent war—could not survive the swaggering ambitions of the Kaiser who fired him.
  • Vladimir Ilyich Lenin: A fiery leader, he spent much of his youth imprisoned or exiled but returned to Russia to lead a revolution, topple a government, and lay the foundation for decades of Soviet Communism.
  • Winston Churchill: An author, soldier, and statesman, he emerged from the political wilderness to become Britain's inspirational prime minister during the darkest days of World War II.


But those who had their hands on the clay as our civilization was shaped came from outside the corridors of power as well, including


  • theologians like Martin Luther, an Augustinian priest and professor of theology whose 95 Theses opposing the sale of indulgences by the Church led to the launch of the Reformation when he nailed them to the door of the castle church in Wittenberg
  • Renaissance artists like Michelangelo, whose greatest works revealed new ways to see the individual through their portrayal of real people with real histories and feelings
  • Enlightenment thinkers like Charles Montesquieu, Jean-Jacques Rousseau, and Denis Diderot, the energetic thinkers known as "philosophes" who built on the work of earlier philosophers like Thomas Hobbes and John Locke
  • Musicians like Beethoven, who redefined musical styles and produced iconic works that we still cherish today


An Essential Toolkit

Oxford-educated, Professor Bucholz has frequently taught a comprehensive Western civilization survey course at Loyola. He has received numerous awards for his teaching, including the Sujack Award for Teaching Excellence (the highest such award presented by the Loyola College of Arts and Sciences) and, twice, the Honors Program Faculty Member of the Year Award. Among his published books are The Augustan Court: Queen Anne and the Decline of Court Culture and Early Modern England, 1485–1714: A Narrative History (with Newton Key).


Taught by an expert historian, Foundations of Western Civilization II is essential to your understanding of the larger depth and breadth of this unprecedented period in world history. In Professor Bucholz's words, the course is "a toolkit for any citizen of the West, a survival kit for any citizen of the world. It is essential equipment for those of us who wish to become civilized and remain so."


https://www.thegreatcourses.com/courses/foundations-of-western-civilization-ii-a-history-of-the-modern-western-world.html
48个视频,每个30分钟长。 视频是可以找到的。自己去找。没有中文字幕,听力可以,尽可能看视频,比guide book 好多了。

guide book
https://guidebookstgc.snagfilms. ... sofWesternCivII.pdf


25
水浪 发表于 2018-8-1 17:07:40 来自手机 |只看作者
美方或上调中国2000亿美元商品关税至25%)
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水浪 发表于 2018-8-1 17:09:29 来自手机 |只看作者
北京时间6日中午)起对第一批清单上818个类别、价值340亿美元的中国商品加征25%的进口关税。
作为反击,中国也于7月6日起对同等规模的美国产品加征25%的进口关税。就在双方关税举措实行前一日(7月5日),,美方挑起了这场贸易战,中方决不打第一枪,但如果美方实施征税措施,中方将被迫进行反制。
报道称,剩余160亿美元中国商品的加征关税问题听证会已于7月24日、25日举行,新的征税提案如果通过,被加征关税的中国产品就将达到500亿美元。
,若160亿美元的征税提案获得通过,中国相应的反制措施应该会即刻生效。
在这500万美元之后,美国又列出了对华2000亿美元输美商品的加税清单。,中方“不得不、也必然会作出必要的反制”。
此前,中国已将美国对华340亿美元输美商品加征关税之举诉诸世贸组织,并针对美国对华2000亿美元商品征税清单向世贸组织提起追诉。
高峰表示,这是捍卫世贸组织基本原则的必要之举。他指出,要不要多边贸易体制,是一个重大的原则问题。针对有人肆意破坏自由贸易原则和多边贸易体制,中方坚信全球贸易伙伴共同制定的规则体系、共同打造的多边贸易体制,应该而且必须得到遵守和维护。
30日,,,今年以来中美双方就贸易问题进行过几次磋商,也曾达成很重要的共识。但遗憾的是,美方没有承担履行的义务,也没有和中方相向而行。
他强调,中方对话谈判的大门始终敞开,但对话必须建立在相互平等和尊重的基础之上,建立在规则的基础之上,单方面威胁和施压只会适得其反。
(原标题:居然还想加码?!美方或上调中国2000亿美元商品关税至25%)
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水浪 发表于 2018-8-2 10:31:22 |只看作者


2018年08月01日 16:10:13
来源:民航资源网

原标题:

[



  图:

  8月1日,美国《联邦公报》(Federal ,全部为中国企业,包括:

  中国航天科工股份有限公司第二院以及下属研究所、中国电子科技集团公司第13研究所以及关联和下属单位、中国电子科技集团公司第14研究所以及关联和下属单位、中国电子科技集团公司第38研究所以及关联和下属单位、中国电子科技集团公司第55研究所以及关联和下属单位、中国技术进出口集团有限公司、中国华腾工业有限公司、河北远东通信。
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水浪 发表于 2018-8-2 10:50:15 |只看作者
美拟调高2000亿美元中国商品关税税率

耿爽说,中方在中美经贸问题的立场是非常坚定、明确的,没有改变。美方的施压和讹诈不会起作用。如果美方采取进一步升级举动,中方必然会予以反制,坚决维护我们的正当合法权益。
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水浪 发表于 2018-8-2 11:06:24 |只看作者
胡锡进  

    今天 18:28 来自 微博 weibo.com

    #胡侃# 【美国再次向中国伸出谈判的橄榄枝,中国该接枝吗?】谈不是坏事,但在现阶段,特朗普显然还没有形成与中国通过平等谈判达成妥协的诚意,他处在继续对华极限施压的惯性中。他与中国谈判的目的也是测试中国的受压程度。
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zhuosn 发表于 4 小时前 |只看作者
https://zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/40133241                 许小年振聋发聩的演讲:中国企业的苦日子才刚刚开始
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